The Indian economy is likely to grow at over 7 per cent in the current fiscal year, former Niti Aayog vice chairman Arvind Panagariya said on Wednesday, while observing that the growth rate should sustain next year too provided the forthcoming Budget does not have any negative surprises. Panagariya further said recessionary fears have been around for a while but so far neither the US nor the EU has gone into recession. "From the viewpoint of India, in terms of headwinds originating abroad, the worst is probably behind us," he told PTI.
If the REER is to be restored to its 2004-05 level, the rupee has to depreciate a lot, says V K
After hitting a record low of 68.85 to the dollar last week, a Reuters poll suggests the rupee will stabilise at 66 to the dollar by the end of September, while technical charts also point to a period of relative calm.
Some investment bankers expect the Indian currency to touch 60-65 by the end of the year
The local currency had gained five paise to close at 66.35 in Monday's trade.
Amid all the gloom on the economic and financial front, Sandesh Kirkire, CEO, Kotak MF, suggests five bold measures to get the Indian economy back on the growth path, arrest the rupee's downfall and address India's bulging current account deficit.
The Indian rupee, however, saw the largest bullish bets in one year as worries about inflation eased.
Forex dealers said a slew of measures like plunging stock markets, dollar gaining strength against its rivals in the overseas market weighed against the local currency which lost a whopping 81 paise against the Greenback on Monday.
'... as has been happening in the last three weeks, then the foreign exchange reserves will not be comfortable to ensure that the rupee does not fall drastically.'
Foreign portfolio investors (FPI) have pulled out $3.5 billion from India's equity markets so far this month. The selling comes on the back of election-induced volatility and the rotation of flows from India to China, where stocks are available at half the valuations. If the selling pressure remains at the current level, this will be the highest FPI pullout since January 2023.
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